Technical Overview of GBP/USD, AUD/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pairs
GBP USD
The GBP traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.2843.
Retail Sales m/m reflect a change in the US retail sails in the reported month compared to the previous one. The indicator is calculated based on statistics received from 5,000 retail stores of different types and sizes, and the data are then extrapolated to the whole country.
The indicator is used for estimating inflation. Its growth may have a positive effect on dollar quotes.
According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.28052, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.27675. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.29183, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.29937.
Previous Day range was 113.1 and Current Day Range is 24.9.
AUD USD
The AUD traded higher against the USD and closed at 0.7088.
Initial Jobless Claims show the number of people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits for the first time over the past week.
The indicator is used to assess the state of the labor market. Since the weekly flow of data causes high volatility, the four-week average values are used most often for interpretation.
The indicator growth can have a negative effect on US dollar quotes.
The pair is expected to find support at 0.70703, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.70531. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.71205, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.71535.
AUD USD previous Day range was 50.2 and Current Day Range is 35.5.
USD JPY
The USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 111.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) q/q reflects the monetary value of all goods and services produced in Japan during a given quarter compared to the previous one. The calculation takes into account private consumption, government spending, the costs of all enterprises and net exports of the country.
GDP growth can have a positive effect on yen quotes.
According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 110.599, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 110.197. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 111.226, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 111.451.
USD JPY previous day range was 6270 and current day range is 2550.
Technical Overview of USD/CAD,
GBP/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pairs
USD CAD
The USD traded lower against the CAD and closed at 1.335.
Consumer Price Index Core is released by the Bank of Canada. “Core” CPI excludes fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products. These volatile core 8 are considered as the key indicator for inflation in Canada. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude by the BoC, and that is said to be positive (or bullish) for the CAD.
According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.33294, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.33094. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.33861, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.34228.
Previous Day range was 56.7 and Current Day Range is 44.2.
GBP USD
The GBP traded higher against the USD and closed at 1.3043.
Mark Carney is Governor of the Bank of England and Chairman of the Monetary Policy Committee, Financial Policy Committee and the Board of the Prudential Regulation Authority. His appointment as Governor was approved by Her Majesty the Queen on 26 November 2012. The Governor joined the Bank on 1 July 2013.
The Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
The pair is expected to find support at 1.30231, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30031. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.30812, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31193.
GBP USD previous Day range was 58.1 and Current Day Range is 34.7.
USD JPY
The USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 112.012.
James Bullard is the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Dr. Bullard took office on April 1, 2008, as the twelfth chief executive of the Eighth District Federal Reserve Bank, at St. Louis. He is currently serving a full term that began March 1, 2011. In 2013, he serves as a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee.
According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 111.892, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 111.772. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 112.087, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 112.162.
USD JPY previous day range was 1950 and current day range is 2410.
Technical Overview of EUR/USD,
USD/JPY and NZD/USD Currency Pairs
EUR USD
The EUR traded lower against the USD and closed at 1.1257.
The Ifo Business Climate Index reflects the current economic situation and forecasts for the next six months from the point of view of German companies. The indicator is compiled based on a survey of more than seven thousand companies. A higher than expected reading is seen as favorable for the euro quotes, while lower readings are seen as negative.
According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.12411, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.12254. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.12672, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.12776.
Previous Day range was 26.1 and Current Day Range is 15.8.
USD JPY
The USD traded lower against the JPY and closed at 111.931.
The New Home Sales indicator reflects sales of newly constructed residences in the United States in the specified month. It measures new single-family home sales.
The indicator is used for measuring the US housing market conditions. Index growth may have a positive effect on dollar quotes.
The pair is expected to find support at 111.851, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 111.772. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 112.000, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 112.070.
USD JPY previous Day range was 1490 and Current Day Range is 3240.
NZD USD
The NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6677.
According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.66701, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.66629. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.66870, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.66967.
NZD USD previous day range was 16.9 and current day range is 13.
Technical Overview of EUR/USD, AUD/USD and NZD/USD Currency Pair
EUR USD
EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1107.
The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) today shows business conditions in the US non-manufacturing sector. It is worth noting that the non-manufacturing sector does not influence, either positively or negatively, the GDP as much as the ISM Manufacturing does. A result above 50 is positive (or bullish) for the USD.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1121 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1117. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1130 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1135.
AUD USD
AUD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6799.
- AUD/USD down 0.5% in sympathy with a weakening Yuan as China fights back.
- USD/CNY blasts through pivotal 7.00 as US-China trade tensions escalate.
- Leads to risk aversion in Asia as risk/EM assets sold across board.
- Havens JPY, XAU +0.5%, US-10 year yield hits 1.7890, lowest since Nov 9, 2016.
- Risk barometer AUD/JPY -1% to a new 2019 low; RBA to sound more dovish Tues?
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6776 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6768. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6789, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6794.
NZD USD
NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6540
- A number of downward slopping trend lines indicate weakness of NZD/USD.
- 10-week old support-line grabs bears’ attention.
- In addition to a two-day long descending trend-line, the NZD/USD pair’s sustained trading below a resistance-line stretched since late-July also portrays its weakness as the quote seesaws near 0.6510 during early Monday.
The Employment Change released by the Statistics New Zealand is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in New Zealand. Generally speaking, today a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending which stimulates economic growth. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the NZ dollar, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6521 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6513. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6533, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6537.
Technical Overview of AUD/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pair
AUD USD
AUD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6756.
• AUD/USD remains upbeat as the RBA renounce from the policy change.
• The central bank stepped back from suggesting further rate cuts.
• Trade/political news will be followed for fresh impulse.
According to the report of The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), there will be no change in the monetary policy, offers a 1.0% interest rate. The central bank avoid from supporting further rate cuts while leaving the door open based on future growth conditions. Earlier during the day, upbeat trade balance data for June also pleased Aussie buyers.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.678 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.677. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6797 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6803.
GBP USD
GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.2143.
• GBP/USD stays on defensive 100 hour exponential moving average.
• 4-day old support-line seems immediate rest ahead of 1.2080.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2101 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2057. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2189, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2233.
USD JPY
USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 105.9500.
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Cabinet Office shows the monetary value of all the goods, services and structures produced in Japan within a given period of time. GDP is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which the Japanese economy is growing or decreasing. A high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the JPY, while a low reading is negative.
Previous reading for Gross Domestic Product was 0.6%.
Expected GDP is 0.1%.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 106.43 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.17. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 107.02, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 107.36.
Technical Overview of NZD/USD, EUR/USD and USD/CNY Currency Pair
NZD USD
NZD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6446.
· Lower than expected USD/CNY fix and comments from RBNZ calming markets.
· RBNZ asst Governor Hawkes by is confident inflation will rise after 50 BP cut.
· Hawkes by said unconventional tools an option only if inflation tanks.
· NZD/USD resistance at former support at 0.6480/90 where sellers are tipped.
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Cabinet Office shows the monetary value of all the goods, services and structures produced in Japan within a given period of time. GDP is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which the Japanese economy is growing or decreasing. A high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the JPY, while a low reading is negative. According To consensus GDP rate is expected to be lower than previous rate.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6455 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6452. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6461 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6463.
EUR USD
EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1199.
Danske Research discusses EUR/USD outlook and expects a dip back towards 1.10 in EUR/USD on 1-3M on yet another Fed disappointment in September.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1211 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1209. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1214, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1216.
USD CNY
USD traded lower against CNY and closed at 7.0602.
USD/CNY fix at 7.0039, which was below market estimates.
The Consumer Price Index is released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China. It is a measure of retail price variations within a representative basket of goods and services. The result is a comprehensive summary of the results extracted from the urban consumer price index and rural consumer price index. The purchase power of the CNY is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. A substantial consumer price index increase would indicate that inflation has become a destabilizing factor in the economy, potentially prompting The People’s Bank of China to tighten monetary policy and fiscal policy risk. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the CNY, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish) for the CNY.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 7.0359 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 7.0116. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 7.0749, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 7.0896.
Technical Overview of AUD/USD, GBP/USD and USD/CAD Currency Pair
AUD USD
AUD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6802.
· RBA quarterly SOMP just released is in line with dovish market assumptions
· RBA notes the downside risks posed by US-China trade war escalation
· AUD/USD off early high (0.6822), but still holding above 0.6800
The RBA Monetary Policy Statement released by the Reserve bank of Australia reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. It is considered as a clear guide to the future RBA interest rate policy. Any changes in this report affect the AUD volatility. If the RBA statement shows a hawkish outlook, that is seen as positive (or bullish) for the AUD, while a dovish outlook is seen as negative (or bearish).
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6713 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6666. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6789 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6818.
GBP USD
GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.2133.
The Gross Domestic Product released by the National Statistics is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by the UK. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of the UK economic activity. Generally speaking, a rising trend has a positive effect on the GBP, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish).
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2113 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2082. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2182, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2221.
USD CAD
USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3227.
The employment Change released by the Statistics Canada is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in Canada. Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending which stimulates economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the CAD, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.
The Unemployment Rate released by the Statistics Canada is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Canadian Economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Canadian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weaken the Canadian economy. Normally, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the CAD, while an increase is seen as negative or bearish.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3279 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3251. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.334, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3373.
Technical Overview of EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD Currency Pair
EUR USD
EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1169.
· EUR/USD aims to revisit 4H 100MA after taking another U-turn from near-term resistance-line.
· While 1.1283/87 can please buyers during upside break, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement can lure during post-1.1158 declines.
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Germany. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of the German economic activity and health. A high reading or a better than expected number has a positive effect on the EUR, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Eurostat is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by the Eurozone. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of the Eurozone economic activity and health. Usually, a rising trend has a positive effect on the EUR, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Gross Domestic Product released by the Eurostat is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by the Eurozone. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of the Eurozone economic activity and health. Usually, a rising trend has a positive effect on the EUR, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish).
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1170 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1156. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1214 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1228.
GBP USD
GBP traded lower against USD and closed at 1.2058.
· GBP/USD remains on a back foot amid recent UK political news.
· Rebel MPs readying for early-September action.
· UK CPI, trade/political news in the spotlight.
The Consumer Price Index released by the National Statistics is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services. The purchase power of GBP is dragged down by inflation. The CPI is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2046 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2033. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2090, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2103.
AUD USD
AUD traded lower against USD and closed at 0.6800.
· AUD/USD drops to the intra-day low after China’s July month Retail Sales and Industrial Production lagged behind market consensus and prior.
· Cautious trading and a lack of fresh clues confined the pair’s moves during the early morning.
· The US-China trade news, speech from RBA’s Debelle will provide fresh impulse.
The Employment Change released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in Australia. Generally speaking, a rise in this indicator has positive implications for consumer spending which stimulates economic growth. Therefore, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the AUD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
The Unemployment Rate release by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. If the rate hikes, indicates a lack of expansion within the Australian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weaken the Australian economy. A decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the AUD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6760 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6743. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6814, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6831.
Technical Overview of AUD/USD, USD/JPY and USD/CHF Currency Pair
AUD USD
AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6747.
· AUD/USD maintaining bid tone as markets send mixed signals regarding risk.
· US yields hitting historic lows in Asia with 30-year yield below 2.0%.
· Bond market is pricing in strong chance of recession nL4N25B0GG.
· Despite moves in US Treasuries. S&P futures up over 0.40%.
· AUD/USD steady around 0.6775 - up 0.41% after better than expected Aus jobsnAZN0QH300.
· Unless bond market wrong, AUD/USD should struggle on global growth concerns.
· AUD/USD resistance at 0.6820/35 where daily highs converge with 38.2 fibo.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6738 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6721. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6794 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6811.
USD JPY
USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 105.89.
Retail Sales m/m reflect a change in the US retail sails in the reported month compared to the previous one. The indicator is calculated based on statistics received from 5,000 retail stores of different types and sizes, and the data are then extrapolated to the whole country.
The indicator is used for estimating inflation. Its growth may have a positive effect on dollar quotes.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 105.70 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 105.48. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.44, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.66.
USD CHF
USD traded higher against CHF and closed at 0.9732.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.9712 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9697. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9762, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9777.
According to Citi Research report "With risk sentiment continuing to deteriorate by the week, investors may look to extend risk aversion trades into 2020 as:
(1) Worsening US – China trade tensions risk a disinflationary impulse from CNY heading towards 7.25 - 50;
(2) Possible risk of USD intervention by the US;
(3) Rising odds of a “No Deal” Brexit;
(4) Re-emergence of Italy political risk;
(5) Slowing global growth leading to central bank policy responses and a “race to the bottom” in rates sparking a currency war;
(6) Potential damage to US – Japan/ Europe trade relations should Trump impose tariffs on auto imports;
(7) 2020 - US presidential election year leaves scope for a more aggressive Trump;
(8) Tensions in HK, Iran, North Korea, now Argentina and India – Pakistan,"
Technical Overview of USD/CAD, USD/JPY and EUR/USD Currency Pair
USD CAD
USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3323.
Consumer Price Index Core is released by the Bank of Canada. “Core” CPI excludes fruits, vegetables, gasoline, fuel oil, natural gas, mortgage interest, intercity transportation, and tobacco products. These volatile core 8 are considered as the key indicator for inflation in Canada. Generally speaking, a high reading anticipates a hawkish attitude by the BoC, and that is said to be positive (or bullish) for the CAD.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3270 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3250. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3304 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3338.
USD JPY
USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 106.62.
FOMC stands for The Federal Open Market Committee that organizes 8 meetings in a year and reviews economic and financial conditions, determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth. FOMC Minutes are released by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve and are a clear guide to the future US interest rate policy.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 106.36 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.25. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 106.70, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 106.81.
EUR USD
EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1087.
According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1075 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1066. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1105, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1114.
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